Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) Price Insights: Volatility, Support & Resistance, Streaks & Historical Returns
QFIN last closed at $8.80, 0% of the way through its 52-week range of $8.80 to $29.73. Downtrend, price below a falling 50-day average. Volatility is currently above its normal for this stock, at the 67th percentile of its own recent range. It is on a 3-day down streak.
Measured against its own trading history, not the broader market, so you're seeing what's actually unusual for this stock specifically. See if short sellers are involved →
Which way the stock is leaning right now, across a short-term streak and a longer-term trend signal.
Over the past 10 trading days, QFIN has fallen on 8 occasions, for a net -29.5%. In the most recent session, volume fell by about 960.8K shares to 3.89M shares, roughly 34.25M in traded value. Falling price on increasing volume suggests active selling, not just quiet drift.
Over the past 60 trading days, QFIN has been in the lower part of a moderate falling trend. If this trend and QFIN's typical volatility continue, a statistical extrapolation points to roughly a -29.1% move over the next 3 months, landing between $1.99 and $10.49 about 90% of the time under that assumption. This is an extrapolation of recent conditions, not a forecast, trends and volatility both change without warning.
QFIN moved -4.0% on Aug 28, 2026. Here's how unusual that is, and what's followed similar moves before.
| After similar days... | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Next day | -0.1% | 50% (n=197) |
| Next 5 days | +0.4% | 49% (n=197) |
| Next 20 days | +2.7% | 48% (n=196) |
A quick visual read on how close the stock is trading to its yearly high or low.
All-time high/low and every % figure on this page use prices adjusted for stock splits and dividends, so they stay comparable across the stock's full history.
Price levels QFIN has repeatedly turned at over the last 2 years, and where it has spent most of its recent trading history.
Highlighted bar marks the price band QFIN is in right now. Longer bars are price levels the stock has spent more time at, often described as "value areas." (This histogram uses full history; support/resistance above is recent-only.)
| Up streak reaches... | Extended further |
|---|---|
| 2 days | 47% (n=223) |
| 3 days | 46% (n=102) |
| 4 days | 35% (n=46) |
| 5+ days | 63% (n=16) |
| Down streak reaches... | Extended further |
|---|---|
| 2 days | 50% (n=249) |
| 3 days | 39% (n=122) |
| 4 days | 45% (n=47) |
| 5+ days | 43% (n=21) |
If you'd bought QFIN on any random day in its history and held for N days, here's what typically happened, including the rough downside case.
| Hold for | Avg return | Win rate | Rough downside (bottom 10%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | +0.1% | 47% | -4.6% |
| 1 week | +0.4% | 48% | -10.1% |
| 2 weeks | +0.8% | 48% | -14.2% |
| 1 month | +1.7% | 47% | -18.0% |
| 3 months | +5.6% | 48% | -30.8% |
| 6 months | +10.7% | 45% | -43.4% |
QFIN has had 145 single-day moves of at least +7.4% on record (roughly twice its typical daily swing). Here's what followed, historically.
| Next | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | -0.1% | 49% (n=86) |
| 5 days | -0.3% | 48% (n=86) |
| 10 days | +0.5% | 47% (n=86) |
| Next | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | +1.5% | 53% (n=59) |
| 5 days | +2.3% | 47% (n=58) |
| 10 days | +5.0% | 57% (n=58) |
A historical pattern in QFIN's own price data, not a prediction, small sample sizes (low "n") mean less reliable signal.
How often QFIN opens at least 1% away from the prior close, and how quickly price trades back to fill that gap.
Every daily return on record, bucketed. Taller bars at the edges mean bigger, more frequent extreme days than a "typical" stock.
Trailing 1-year annualized volatility: 58.7%. Average intraday range: 5.5%, a rough gauge for sizing stops. Day categories are relative to QFIN's own median daily move, not a fixed threshold.
Days where volume ran at least 2x the trailing 30-day average, often institutional activity or a news-driven move. 7 in the last 90 days. Today's volume is running at 1.9x the 30-day average.
| Date | Volume | vs 30-day avg | Price move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 4.85M | 2.5x | -1.93% |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 11.29M | 7.0x | -18.91% |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 9.77M | 7.3x | +4.91% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 4.56M | 3.5x | -5.05% |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 2.65M | 2.1x | -2.88% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 2.45M | 2.0x | -1.26% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 3.73M | 2.5x | +5.16% |
| May 27, 2026 | 7.35M | 6.2x | +25.02% |
How deep this stock's corrections have run, and how long they've taken to climb back.
| Peak | Trough | Decline | Recovered | Days to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025 | Mar 10, 2025 | -15.2% | Mar 17, 2025 | 5 |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Oct 25, 2022 | -76.7% | Nov 27, 2024 | 526 |
| Mar 18, 2021 | May 13, 2021 | -35.0% | Jun 1, 2021 | 12 |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Mar 8, 2021 | -32.3% | Mar 11, 2021 | 3 |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Mar 23, 2020 | -73.0% | Feb 10, 2021 | 224 |
Return by month, every year on record, plus average by weekday. Context, not a trading signal on its own; small sample sizes here too.
| Year | J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -18 | -6 | -16 | 7 | 20 | -7 | -15 | -37 | ||||
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 15 | -6 | 2 | 6 | -20 | -13 | 0 | -19 | -17 | -2 |
| 2024 | -5 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 6 |
| 2023 | 15 | -19 | -11 | -10 | -24 | 18 | 11 | -9 | -10 | -5 | 6 | 4 |
| 2022 | -12 | -8 | -20 | -8 | 8 | 17 | -16 | 17 | -12 | -23 | 42 | 29 |
| 2021 | 45 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | -45 | 7 | -14 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 2020 | -11 | -9 | -4 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 12 | -4 | -8 | 15 | -8 |
| 2019 | -14 | 34 | -9 | 25 | -19 | -21 | -7 | -8 | -9 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 2018 | -6 |
Cell = that month's return (%), rounded. Darker green = stronger gain, darker red = deeper loss.
Comparing 2026's price path so far to every other full year on record, ranked by how closely they tracked. What happened for the rest of those years:
Similarity is based on the shape of the price path, not the cause, years can look alike for very different reasons. Context, not a forecast.
Does QFIN grind up and drop fast, or climb in bursts and fade slowly? The shape of its up days vs down days tells you.
Straight, sourced answers, the kind of questions traders actually type into a search bar or ask an AI assistant.
What is QFIN's 52-week high and low?
Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN)'s 52-week high is $29.73, set on Sep 23, 2025. Its 52-week low is $8.80, set on Aug 28, 2026. It last closed at $8.80.
Is QFIN more volatile than usual right now?
QFIN's short-term volatility is above its normal, sitting at the 67th percentile of its own 1-2 year range.
What happens after QFIN has a big move?
Looking at QFIN's 145 single-day moves of +7.4% or more: after a big up day, it has averaged -0.3% over the next 5 sessions (48% positive). After a big down day, it has averaged +2.3% over the next 5 sessions (47% positive).
How long does QFIN usually take to recover from a drop?
Across 5 drawdowns of 10% or more on record, QFIN has taken an average of 117 trading days to climb back to its prior high. It is currently -79.7% below its Mar 27, 2025 peak and has not yet recovered.
Does QFIN have a seasonal pattern?
Historically, November has been QFIN's strongest month, averaging +10.8% and finishing positive in 86% of years. July has been the weakest, averaging -7.6%. This is a historical pattern, not a guarantee.
What is QFIN's longest winning streak?
QFIN's longest winning streak on record is 9 trading days, from Jan 12, 2021 to Jan 25, 2021, a combined gain of +31.0%. Its longest losing streak is 11 days.
How often do QFIN's price gaps get filled?
QFIN has gapped up at least 1% on 520 occasions, filling that gap within 5 sessions 79% of the time. It has gapped down at least 1% on 442 occasions, filling within 5 sessions 76% of the time.
Where is QFIN trading relative to its all-time high?
QFIN is trading -79.7% from its all-time high of $43.39 (Mar 27, 2025). Its current price is higher than 15% of all closing prices in its history on record.