IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) Price Insights: Volatility, Support & Resistance, Streaks & Historical Returns

1,419 trading days on record, Jan 4, 2021 to Aug 28, 2026

IONQ last closed at $39.20, 23% of the way through its 52-week range of $26.59 to $82.09. Downtrend, price below a falling 50-day average. Volatility is currently above its normal for this stock, at the 62th percentile of its own recent range. It is on a 1-day down streak.

How Volatile Is IONQ Right Now?

Measured against its own trading history, not the broader market, so you're seeing what's actually unusual for this stock specifically. See if short sellers are involved →

Above its normal62th percentile of its own 1-2yr range
CalmNormalWild
Recent rhythm, last 60 sessions
Momentum Check

Which way the stock is leaning right now, across a short-term streak and a longer-term trend signal.

Streak (short-term)
1 day down (-7.7%)
When a down streak has reached 1 days before, it went on to extend further 46% of the time (n=349)
Trend (long-term: 50 vs 200-day)
Downtrend, price below a falling 50-day average
39.20-5.36% (1Y)
82.0926.592025-08-272026-08-28

Over the past 10 trading days, IONQ has fallen on 5 occasions, for a net -12.9%. In the most recent session, volume rose by about 5.23M shares to 20.11M shares, roughly 788.23M in traded value. Falling price on lighter volume can suggest selling pressure is fading rather than building.

Over the past 60 trading days, IONQ has been in the upper part of a moderate falling trend. If this trend and IONQ's typical volatility continue, a statistical extrapolation points to roughly a -72.1% move over the next 3 months, landing between $-20.09 and $42.00 about 90% of the time under that assumption. This is an extrapolation of recent conditions, not a forecast, trends and volatility both change without warning.

Today's move in context

IONQ moved -7.7% on Aug 28, 2026. Here's how unusual that is, and what's followed similar moves before.

Moves like this (below -5% to -5%)
220 times (15.5% of days)
Size rank
Top 16% largest daily moves
After similar days...Avg returnWin rate
Next day+1.3%54% (n=220)
Next 5 days+2.2%49% (n=219)
Next 20 days+5.2%44% (n=218)
IONQ's largest single-day gain on record is +36.5%, on May 22, 2025, the price jumped from $33.54 to $45.79.
Its largest single-day drop is -39.0%, on Jan 8, 2025, falling from $49.59 to $30.25.
Over just the past 12 months, IONQ's biggest single-day gain was +21.7%, on Feb 26, 2026, from $33.59 to $40.88.
The current 1-day down streak is longer than 55% of all down streaks IONQ has had.
IONQ has spent 5% of its trading days within 5% of its all-time high at the time.
A "typical" day for IONQ moves about 3.1%, that is its median daily move, in either direction.
Where IONQ Sits in Its 52-Week Range

A quick visual read on how close the stock is trading to its yearly high or low.

$26.59
Mar 30, 2026
$82.09
Oct 13, 2025
Zoomed out further: $39.20 is higher than 81% of every closing price IONQ has ever had.
All-Time High, All-Time Low & Recent Returns
Last close
$39.20
All-time high
$82.09
Oct 13, 2025 · -52.2% from here
All-time low
$3.10
Dec 27, 2022
VWAP since 52w low
$48.03
Volume-weighted avg cost since the low

All-time high/low and every % figure on this page use prices adjusted for stock splits and dividends, so they stay comparable across the stock's full history.

1M return
+15.7%
YTD return
-12.6%
1Y return
-9.5%
5Y return
+292.8%
IONQ is currently more than 20% of its running all-time high. In the past, when it was in that same range, it went on to average +106.5% over the following year (64% of the time positive, n=1025).
Support & Resistance Levels

Price levels IONQ has repeatedly turned at over the last 2 years, and where it has spent most of its recent trading history.

Resistance (above current price)
$40.942 touches
Rejected 50% of the time it was tested, last Feb 26, 2026
$42.222 touches
Rejected 50% of the time it was tested, last Apr 29, 2026
$48.182 touches
Rejected 100% of the time it was tested, last Apr 20, 2026
Support (below current price)
$30.612 touches
Held 100% of the time it was tested, last Feb 23, 2026
$26.362 touches
Held 50% of the time it was tested, last Mar 30, 2026
Time spent at each price (full history)
$77.15
5d
$72.22
5d
$67.28
11d
$62.34
13d
$57.41
19d
$52.47
27d
$47.53
43d
$42.60
76d
$37.66
93d
$32.72
59d
$27.78
53d
$22.85
41d
$17.91
44d
$12.97
160d
$8.04
429d
$3.10
341d

Highlighted bar marks the price band IONQ is in right now. Longer bars are price levels the stock has spent more time at, often described as "value areas." (This histogram uses full history; support/resistance above is recent-only.)

Streak Odds & Moving-Average Bounces
50-day average bounce rate
43%
Held as support 42 times it was tested from above
Longest winning streak
9 days
Oct 7, 2021 to Oct 19, 2021 · +50.5% combined
Longest losing streak
9 days
Sep 12, 2023 to Sep 22, 2023 · -32.5% combined
Once a streak reaches this length, how often has it gone further?
Up streak reaches...Extended further
2 days47% (n=169)
3 days43% (n=80)
4 days55% (n=33)
5+ days65% (n=17)
Down streak reaches...Extended further
2 days57% (n=160)
3 days57% (n=91)
4 days56% (n=50)
5+ days54% (n=28)
What a Random Holding Period Has Actually Returned

If you'd bought IONQ on any random day in its history and held for N days, here's what typically happened, including the rough downside case.

Hold forAvg returnWin rateRough downside (bottom 10%)
1 day+0.3%48%-6.4%
1 week+1.4%50%-13.9%
2 weeks+2.9%49%-20.0%
1 month+6.1%47%-26.2%
3 months+22.3%44%-36.8%
6 months+44.7%53%-48.9%
What Happens After a Big Move

IONQ has had 73 single-day moves of at least +12.1% on record (roughly twice its typical daily swing). Here's what followed, historically.

After a big up day (52)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day+0.8%44% (n=52)
5 days+0.6%44% (n=52)
10 days+3.2%44% (n=52)
After a big down day (21)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day+3.2%76% (n=21)
5 days+10.7%71% (n=21)
10 days+10.2%67% (n=21)

A historical pattern in IONQ's own price data, not a prediction, small sample sizes (low "n") mean less reliable signal.

How Often Price Gaps Fill

How often IONQ opens at least 1% away from the prior close, and how quickly price trades back to fill that gap.

Gap ups
474 (~84.0/yr)
Avg size: 2.8%
Filled same day: 68%
Filled within 5 sessions: 86%
Gap downs
354 (~62.7/yr)
Avg size: 2.8%
Filled same day: 59%
Filled within 5 sessions: 82%
The Full Distribution of Daily Moves

Every daily return on record, bucketed. Taller bars at the edges mean bigger, more frequent extreme days than a "typical" stock.

Below -5%
16%
-5% to -3%
10%
-3% to -1%
14%
-1% to 0%
10%
0% to 1%
12%
1% to 3%
13%
3% to 5%
9%
Above 5%
17%
30%
Quiet days
35%
Normal days
25%
High days
10%
Extreme days

Trailing 1-year annualized volatility: 96.3%. Average intraday range: 7.9%, a rough gauge for sizing stops. Day categories are relative to IONQ's own median daily move, not a fixed threshold.

Days When Volume Spiked

Days where volume ran at least 2x the trailing 30-day average, often institutional activity or a news-driven move. 1 in the last 90 days. Today's volume is running at 1.0x the 30-day average.

DateVolumevs 30-day avgPrice move
Jun 26, 202667.77M2.3x-2.47%
Apr 16, 202679.29M3.4x+3.31%
Apr 15, 202696.97M4.6x+20.95%
Apr 14, 202668.01M3.5x+20.16%
Mar 4, 202647.41M2.1x+0.22%
Feb 26, 202670.33M3.3x+21.70%
Jan 26, 202639.55M2.2x-8.21%
Sep 19, 202550.96M2.4x+5.39%
IONQ's Drawdown & Recovery History

How deep this stock's corrections have run, and how long they've taken to climb back.

Currently in a drawdown
Down -67.6% from its Oct 13, 2025 high, has not recovered yet, 104 trading days since the low so far.
Avg correction
-24.5%
Median correction
-13.9%
Largest correction
-90.0%
Recovery speed by how deep the drop was
5-10% drop
4 days
n=4
10-20% drop
3 days
n=6
20%+ drop
157 days
n=4
PeakTroughDeclineRecoveredDays to recover
Oct 7, 2025Oct 10, 2025-10.8%Oct 13, 20251
Sep 23, 2025Sep 30, 2025-18.2%Oct 6, 20254
Jan 6, 2025Mar 10, 2025-64.2%Sep 12, 2025129
Dec 26, 2024Dec 31, 2024-13.4%Jan 6, 20253
Dec 17, 2024Dec 18, 2024-14.5%Dec 20, 20242
Seasonal Patterns: Best & Worst Months

Return by month, every year on record, plus average by weekday. Context, not a trading signal on its own; small sample sizes here too.

Historically strongest month
November
Avg +38.8% · positive in 60% of 5 years
Historically weakest month
March
Avg -6.8% · positive in 17% of 6 years
YearJFMAMJJASOND
2026-150-256256-23-291
2025-8-41-518476-11243-1-16-5
2024-161-6-14-7-1019-1268414630
202328033-10972643-13-15-3520-9
2022-3531-12-39-27-172313-1212-8-30
2021525-262-87-7146352-20

Cell = that month's return (%), rounded. Darker green = stronger gain, darker red = deeper loss.

By weekday
Mon
+0.16%
50% win
Tue
-0.02%
44% win
Wed
+0.35%
46% win
Thu
+0.22%
50% win
Fri
+0.66%
50% win
Years That Traded Like This One

Comparing 2026's price path so far to every other full year on record, ranked by how closely they tracked. What happened for the rest of those years:

2025 · 44% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+3.6%
Full-year 2025: +4.1%
2023 · 13% similar so far
Rest of that year:
-18.9%
Full-year 2023: +258.1%
2024 · -25% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+456.2%
Full-year 2024: +243.5%

Similarity is based on the shape of the price path, not the cause, years can look alike for very different reasons. Context, not a forecast.

Grinds Up or Drops Fast? IONQ's Risk Profile

Does IONQ grind up and drop fast, or climb in bursts and fade slowly? The shape of its up days vs down days tells you.

Avg up day
+4.73%
Avg down day
-3.96%
% of days positive
48%
Frequently asked questions

Straight, sourced answers, the kind of questions traders actually type into a search bar or ask an AI assistant.

What is IONQ's 52-week high and low?

IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)'s 52-week high is $82.09, set on Oct 13, 2025. Its 52-week low is $26.59, set on Mar 30, 2026. It last closed at $39.20.

Is IONQ more volatile than usual right now?

IONQ's short-term volatility is above its normal, sitting at the 62th percentile of its own 1-2 year range.

What happens after IONQ has a big move?

Looking at IONQ's 73 single-day moves of +12.1% or more: after a big up day, it has averaged +0.6% over the next 5 sessions (44% positive). After a big down day, it has averaged +10.7% over the next 5 sessions (71% positive).

How long does IONQ usually take to recover from a drop?

Across 5 drawdowns of 10% or more on record, IONQ has taken an average of 65 trading days to climb back to its prior high. It is currently -67.6% below its Oct 13, 2025 peak and has not yet recovered.

Does IONQ have a seasonal pattern?

Historically, November has been IONQ's strongest month, averaging +38.8% and finishing positive in 60% of years. March has been the weakest, averaging -6.8%. This is a historical pattern, not a guarantee.

What is IONQ's longest winning streak?

IONQ's longest winning streak on record is 9 trading days, from Oct 7, 2021 to Oct 19, 2021, a combined gain of +50.5%. Its longest losing streak is 9 days.

How often do IONQ's price gaps get filled?

IONQ has gapped up at least 1% on 474 occasions, filling that gap within 5 sessions 86% of the time. It has gapped down at least 1% on 354 occasions, filling within 5 sessions 82% of the time.

Where is IONQ trading relative to its all-time high?

IONQ is trading -52.2% from its all-time high of $82.09 (Oct 13, 2025). Its current price is higher than 81% of all closing prices in its history on record.

All figures on this page are calculated directly from IONQ's daily price history (split/dividend-adjusted) and reflect the past only. None of this is a prediction of future performance or investment advice. Read disclaimer →