CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON) Price Insights: Volatility, Support & Resistance, Streaks & Historical Returns

650 trading days on record, Jan 25, 2024 to Aug 28, 2026

CGON last closed at $74.34, 88% of the way through its 52-week range of $26.72 to $80.68. Uptrend, price above a rising 50-day average. Volatility is currently below its normal for this stock, at the 27th percentile of its own recent range. It is on a 1-day down streak.

How Volatile Is CGON Right Now?

Measured against its own trading history, not the broader market, so you're seeing what's actually unusual for this stock specifically. See if short sellers are involved →

Below its normal27th percentile of its own 1-2yr range
CalmNormalWild
Recent rhythm, last 60 sessions
Momentum Check

Which way the stock is leaning right now, across a short-term streak and a longer-term trend signal.

Streak (short-term)
1 day down (-5.9%)
When a down streak has reached 1 days before, it went on to extend further 44% of the time (n=176)
Trend (long-term: 50 vs 200-day)
Uptrend, price above a rising 50-day average
74.34+180.74% (1Y)
80.6826.482025-08-272026-08-28

Over the past 10 trading days, CGON has fallen on 4 occasions, for a net -0.5%. In the most recent session, volume rose by about 283.6K shares to 612.6K shares, roughly 45.54M in traded value.

Over the past 60 trading days, CGON has been in the lower part of a strong rising trend. If this trend and CGON's typical volatility continue, a statistical extrapolation points to roughly a +38.3% move over the next 3 months, landing between $67.83 and $137.78 about 90% of the time under that assumption. This is an extrapolation of recent conditions, not a forecast, trends and volatility both change without warning.

Today's move in context

CGON moved -5.9% on Aug 28, 2026. Here's how unusual that is, and what's followed similar moves before.

Moves like this (below -5% to -5%)
41 times (6.3% of days)
Size rank
Top 9% largest daily moves
After similar days...Avg returnWin rate
Next day-0.5%49% (n=41)
Next 5 days+0.1%54% (n=41)
Next 20 days+9.4%59% (n=41)
CGON's largest single-day gain on record is +29.3%, on Jan 9, 2026, the price jumped from $41.93 to $54.20.
Its largest single-day drop is -23.0%, on May 6, 2025, falling from $28.18 to $21.70.
Over just the past 12 months, CGON's biggest single-day gain was +29.3%, on Jan 9, 2026, from $41.93 to $54.20.
The current 1-day down streak is longer than 57% of all down streaks CGON has had.
CGON has spent 16% of its trading days within 5% of its all-time high at the time.
A "typical" day for CGON moves about 2.1%, that is its median daily move, in either direction.
Where CGON Sits in Its 52-Week Range

A quick visual read on how close the stock is trading to its yearly high or low.

$26.72
Aug 28, 2025
$80.68
Aug 19, 2026
Zoomed out further: $74.34 is higher than 98% of every closing price CGON has ever had.
All-Time High, All-Time Low & Recent Returns
Last close
$74.34
All-time high
$80.68
Aug 19, 2026 · -7.9% from here
All-time low
$15.59
Apr 8, 2025
VWAP since 52w low
$56.14
Volume-weighted avg cost since the low

All-time high/low and every % figure on this page use prices adjusted for stock splits and dividends, so they stay comparable across the stock's full history.

1M return
+2.4%
YTD return
+79.0%
1Y return
+178.2%
5Y return
CGON is currently 5-10% of its running all-time high. In the past, when it was in that same range, it went on to average -36.2% over the following year (0% of the time positive, n=10).
Support & Resistance Levels

Price levels CGON has repeatedly turned at over the last 2 years, and where it has spent most of its recent trading history.

Resistance (above current price)
None identified above current price in the last 2 years.
Support (below current price)
$68.882 touches
Held 50% of the time it was tested, last Jul 29, 2026
$28.683 touches
Held 0% of the time it was tested, last Jul 17, 2025
$27.823 touches
Held 67% of the time it was tested, last Jun 10, 2025
Time spent at each price (full history)
$76.61
10d
$72.54
16d
$68.48
36d
$64.41
31d
$60.34
19d
$56.27
14d
$52.20
26d
$48.14
7d
$44.07
16d
$40.00
66d
$35.93
114d
$31.86
90d
$27.79
75d
$23.73
110d
$19.66
13d
$15.59
7d

Highlighted bar marks the price band CGON is in right now. Longer bars are price levels the stock has spent more time at, often described as "value areas." (This histogram uses full history; support/resistance above is recent-only.)

Streak Odds & Moving-Average Bounces
50-day average bounce rate
47%
Held as support 36 times it was tested from above
Longest winning streak
9 days
Jul 5, 2024 to Jul 17, 2024 · +23.9% combined
Longest losing streak
8 days
May 2, 2024 to May 13, 2024 · -36.4% combined
Once a streak reaches this length, how often has it gone further?
Up streak reaches...Extended further
2 days47% (n=75)
3 days49% (n=35)
4 days47% (n=17)
5+ days63% (n=8)
Down streak reaches...Extended further
2 days55% (n=76)
3 days38% (n=40)
4 days40% (n=15)
5+ days33% (n=6)
What a Random Holding Period Has Actually Returned

If you'd bought CGON on any random day in its history and held for N days, here's what typically happened, including the rough downside case.

Hold forAvg returnWin rateRough downside (bottom 10%)
1 day+0.2%49%-4.1%
1 week+1.0%57%-8.8%
2 weeks+1.9%56%-11.1%
1 month+3.2%53%-14.2%
3 months+8.9%59%-22.8%
6 months+22.9%54%-26.5%
What Happens After a Big Move

CGON has had 35 single-day moves of at least +7.2% on record (roughly twice its typical daily swing). Here's what followed, historically.

After a big up day (21)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day-0.8%33% (n=21)
5 days+1.0%52% (n=21)
10 days+2.8%52% (n=21)
After a big down day (14)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day-0.2%50% (n=14)
5 days-1.5%57% (n=14)
10 days+3.8%57% (n=14)

A historical pattern in CGON's own price data, not a prediction, small sample sizes (low "n") mean less reliable signal.

How Often Price Gaps Fill

How often CGON opens at least 1% away from the prior close, and how quickly price trades back to fill that gap.

Gap ups
126 (~48.6/yr)
Avg size: 2.4%
Filled same day: 65%
Filled within 5 sessions: 85%
Gap downs
111 (~42.9/yr)
Avg size: 2.1%
Filled same day: 73%
Filled within 5 sessions: 88%
The Full Distribution of Daily Moves

Every daily return on record, bucketed. Taller bars at the edges mean bigger, more frequent extreme days than a "typical" stock.

Below -5%
6%
-5% to -3%
10%
-3% to -1%
20%
-1% to 0%
13%
0% to 1%
14%
1% to 3%
17%
3% to 5%
11%
Above 5%
8%
29%
Quiet days
38%
Normal days
25%
High days
8%
Extreme days

Trailing 1-year annualized volatility: 57.2%. Average intraday range: 6.0%, a rough gauge for sizing stops. Day categories are relative to CGON's own median daily move, not a fixed threshold.

Days When Volume Spiked

Days where volume ran at least 2x the trailing 30-day average, often institutional activity or a news-driven move. 2 in the last 90 days. Today's volume is running at 0.8x the 30-day average.

DateVolumevs 30-day avgPrice move
Jun 26, 20264.85M4.7x-1.21%
Jun 18, 20262.26M2.4x+1.08%
Mar 20, 20263.21M2.6x-1.18%
Mar 12, 20262.60M2.6x-2.61%
Mar 11, 20264.03M4.5x+2.96%
Jan 22, 20262.83M2.4x-2.24%
Jan 21, 20262.89M2.6x+4.46%
Jan 9, 20267.00M8.1x+29.26%
CGON's Drawdown & Recovery History

How deep this stock's corrections have run, and how long they've taken to climb back.

Avg correction
-18.4%
Median correction
-10.0%
Largest correction
-67.5%
Recovery speed by how deep the drop was
5-10% drop
6 days
n=4
10-20% drop
10 days
n=2
20%+ drop
107 days
n=2
PeakTroughDeclineRecoveredDays to recover
May 13, 2026Jun 5, 2026-27.4%Jul 10, 202623
Apr 17, 2026Apr 29, 2026-11.8%May 13, 202610
Jan 21, 2026Feb 5, 2026-13.9%Feb 20, 202610
Feb 16, 2024Apr 8, 2025-67.5%Jan 9, 2026190
Seasonal Patterns: Best & Worst Months

Return by month, every year on record, plus average by weekday. Context, not a trading signal on its own; small sample sizes here too.

Historically strongest month
September
Avg +26.7% · positive in 100% of 2 years
Historically weakest month
December
Avg -11.9% · positive in 0% of 2 years
YearJFMAMJJASOND
2026258170-62008
20254-12-222-8-21247107-4
20240180-6-20-12597-4-3-20

Cell = that month's return (%), rounded. Darker green = stronger gain, darker red = deeper loss.

By weekday
Mon
+0.06%
46% win
Tue
-0.51%
46% win
Wed
+0.62%
55% win
Thu
+0.27%
52% win
Fri
+0.50%
48% win
Years That Traded Like This One

Comparing 2026's price path so far to every other full year on record, ranked by how closely they tracked. What happened for the rest of those years:

2024 · -37% similar so far
Rest of that year:
-22.6%
Full-year 2024: -22.8%
2025 · -50% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+55.4%
Full-year 2025: +43.3%

Similarity is based on the shape of the price path, not the cause, years can look alike for very different reasons. Context, not a forecast.

Grinds Up or Drops Fast? CGON's Risk Profile

Does CGON grind up and drop fast, or climb in bursts and fade slowly? The shape of its up days vs down days tells you.

Avg up day
+3.04%
Avg down day
-2.63%
% of days positive
49%
Frequently asked questions

Straight, sourced answers, the kind of questions traders actually type into a search bar or ask an AI assistant.

What is CGON's 52-week high and low?

CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON)'s 52-week high is $80.68, set on Aug 19, 2026. Its 52-week low is $26.72, set on Aug 28, 2025. It last closed at $74.34.

Is CGON more volatile than usual right now?

CGON's short-term volatility is below its normal, sitting at the 27th percentile of its own 1-2 year range.

What happens after CGON has a big move?

Looking at CGON's 35 single-day moves of +7.2% or more: after a big up day, it has averaged +1.0% over the next 5 sessions (52% positive). After a big down day, it has averaged -1.5% over the next 5 sessions (57% positive).

How long does CGON usually take to recover from a drop?

Across 4 drawdowns of 10% or more on record, CGON has taken an average of 58 trading days to climb back to its prior high.

Does CGON have a seasonal pattern?

Historically, September has been CGON's strongest month, averaging +26.7% and finishing positive in 100% of years. December has been the weakest, averaging -11.9%. This is a historical pattern, not a guarantee.

What is CGON's longest winning streak?

CGON's longest winning streak on record is 9 trading days, from Jul 5, 2024 to Jul 17, 2024, a combined gain of +23.9%. Its longest losing streak is 8 days.

How often do CGON's price gaps get filled?

CGON has gapped up at least 1% on 126 occasions, filling that gap within 5 sessions 85% of the time. It has gapped down at least 1% on 111 occasions, filling within 5 sessions 88% of the time.

Where is CGON trading relative to its all-time high?

CGON is trading -7.9% from its all-time high of $80.68 (Aug 19, 2026). Its current price is higher than 98% of all closing prices in its history on record.

All figures on this page are calculated directly from CGON's daily price history (split/dividend-adjusted) and reflect the past only. None of this is a prediction of future performance or investment advice. Read disclaimer →