Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. (ORKA) Price Insights: Volatility, Support & Resistance, Streaks & Historical Returns

7,308 trading days on record, Aug 8, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026

ORKA last closed at $91.14, 78% of the way through its 52-week range of $14.80 to $112.66. Longer-term uptrend, but price has slipped below the 50-day average. Volatility is currently right around normal for this stock, at the 49th percentile of its own recent range. It is on a 5-day down streak.

How Volatile Is ORKA Right Now?

Measured against its own trading history, not the broader market, so you're seeing what's actually unusual for this stock specifically. See if short sellers are involved โ†’

Right around normal49th percentile of its own 1-2yr range
CalmNormalWild
Recent rhythm, last 60 sessions
Momentum Check

Which way the stock is leaning right now, across a short-term streak and a longer-term trend signal.

Streak (short-term)
5 days down (-15.6%)
When a down streak has reached 5 days before, it went on to extend further 50% of the time (n=98)
Trend (long-term: 50 vs 200-day)
Longer-term uptrend, but price has slipped below the 50-day average
91.14+500.43% (1Y)
112.6614.802025-08-272026-08-28

Over the past 10 trading days, ORKA has fallen on 7 occasions, for a net -15.7%. In the most recent session, volume fell by about 25.2K shares to 589.4K shares, roughly 53.72M in traded value. Falling price on lighter volume can suggest selling pressure is fading rather than building.

Over the past 60 trading days, ORKA has been in the lower part of a strong rising trend. If this trend and ORKA's typical volatility continue, a statistical extrapolation points to roughly a +68.8% move over the next 3 months, landing between $96.52 and $211.10 about 90% of the time under that assumption. This is an extrapolation of recent conditions, not a forecast, trends and volatility both change without warning.

Today's move in context

ORKA moved -5.6% on Aug 28, 2026. Here's how unusual that is, and what's followed similar moves before.

Moves like this (below -5% to -5%)
752 times (10.3% of days)
Size rank
Top 17% largest daily moves
After similar days...Avg returnWin rate
Next day+0.1%46% (n=752)
Next 5 days+0.1%46% (n=751)
Next 20 days+1.3%44% (n=751)
ORKA's largest single-day gain on record is +386.4%, on May 28, 2020, the price jumped from $47.40 to $230.52.
Over just the past 12 months, ORKA's biggest single-day gain was +26.9%, on Sep 29, 2025, from $15.20 to $19.29.
The current 5-day down streak is longer than 97% of all down streaks ORKA has had.
ORKA has spent 1% of its trading days within 5% of its all-time high at the time.
A "typical" day for ORKA moves about 2.2%, that is its median daily move, in either direction.
Where ORKA Sits in Its 52-Week Range

A quick visual read on how close the stock is trading to its yearly high or low.

$14.80
Aug 29, 2025
$112.66
Aug 17, 2026
Zoomed out further: $91.14 is higher than 29% of every closing price ORKA has ever had.
All-Time High, All-Time Low & Recent Returns
Last close
$91.14
All-time high
$36959368.00
Feb 18, 2000 ยท -100.0% from here
All-time low
$6.78
Apr 8, 2025
VWAP since 52w low
$60.64
Volume-weighted avg cost since the low

All-time high/low and every % figure on this page use prices adjusted for stock splits and dividends, so they stay comparable across the stock's full history.

1M return
+0.8%
YTD return
+200.7%
1Y return
+496.9%
5Y return
+363.1%
ORKA is currently more than 20% of its running all-time high. In the past, when it was in that same range, it went on to average +21.1% over the following year (24% of the time positive, n=6977).
Support & Resistance Levels

Price levels ORKA has repeatedly turned at over the last 2 years, and where it has spent most of its recent trading history.

Resistance (above current price)
None identified above current price in the last 2 years.
Support (below current price)
$35.552 touches
Held 0% of the time it was tested, last Feb 24, 2026
$31.843 touches
Held 67% of the time it was tested, last Mar 12, 2026
$26.302 touches
Held 100% of the time it was tested, last Jan 8, 2026
Time spent at each price (full history)
$34649407.92
2d
$32339447.85
0d
$30029487.77
0d
$27719527.70
9d
$25409567.62
3d
$23099607.54
1d
$20789647.47
1d
$18479687.39
7d
$16169727.31
6d
$13859767.24
11d
$11549807.16
37d
$9239847.08
71d
$6929887.01
62d
$4619926.93
67d
$2309966.86
466d
$6.78
6565d

Highlighted bar marks the price band ORKA is in right now. Longer bars are price levels the stock has spent more time at, often described as "value areas." (This histogram uses full history; support/resistance above is recent-only.)

Streak Odds & Moving-Average Bounces
50-day average bounce rate
41%
Held as support 302 times it was tested from above
Longest winning streak
9 days
Apr 9, 2025 to Apr 22, 2025 ยท +56.0% combined
Longest losing streak
11 days
Mar 21, 2002 to Apr 5, 2002 ยท -37.1% combined
Once a streak reaches this length, how often has it gone further?
Up streak reaches...Extended further
2 days43% (n=660)
3 days43% (n=272)
4 days43% (n=114)
5+ days49% (n=47)
Down streak reaches...Extended further
2 days52% (n=834)
3 days54% (n=401)
4 days51% (n=203)
5+ days50% (n=98)
What a Random Holding Period Has Actually Returned

If you'd bought ORKA on any random day in its history and held for N days, here's what typically happened, including the rough downside case.

Hold forAvg returnWin rateRough downside (bottom 10%)
1 day+0.1%41%-5.1%
1 week+0.2%42%-11.5%
2 weeks+0.2%42%-16.9%
1 month+0.4%42%-24.4%
3 months+3.3%37%-43.7%
6 months+8.7%30%-59.9%
What Happens After a Big Move

ORKA has had 424 single-day moves of at least +9.6% on record (roughly twice its typical daily swing). Here's what followed, historically.

After a big up day (249)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day+0.4%43% (n=249)
5 days-1.0%38% (n=249)
10 days-0.0%41% (n=249)
After a big down day (175)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day-0.1%42% (n=175)
5 days-0.2%42% (n=175)
10 days-0.1%42% (n=175)

A historical pattern in ORKA's own price data, not a prediction, small sample sizes (low "n") mean less reliable signal.

How Often Price Gaps Fill

How often ORKA opens at least 1% away from the prior close, and how quickly price trades back to fill that gap.

Gap ups
2007 (~69.1/yr)
Avg size: 3.5%
Filled same day: 78%
Filled within 5 sessions: 91%
Gap downs
1628 (~56.0/yr)
Avg size: 3.0%
Filled same day: 77%
Filled within 5 sessions: 89%
The Full Distribution of Daily Moves

Every daily return on record, bucketed. Taller bars at the edges mean bigger, more frequent extreme days than a "typical" stock.

Below -5%
10%
-5% to -3%
10%
-3% to -1%
19%
-1% to 0%
10%
0% to 1%
17%
1% to 3%
15%
3% to 5%
8%
Above 5%
10%
28%
Quiet days
36%
Normal days
22%
High days
13%
Extreme days

Trailing 1-year annualized volatility: 76.4%. Average intraday range: 7.7%, a rough gauge for sizing stops. Day categories are relative to ORKA's own median daily move, not a fixed threshold.

Days When Volume Spiked

Days where volume ran at least 2x the trailing 30-day average, often institutional activity or a news-driven move. 4 in the last 90 days. Today's volume is running at 0.7x the 30-day average.

DateVolumevs 30-day avgPrice move
Jul 2, 20264.52M3.0x-8.66%
Jun 26, 20264.73M3.4x+4.58%
Jun 22, 20264.20M3.3x+18.03%
Jun 18, 20262.99M2.4x+2.06%
May 1, 20263.95M2.3x-8.52%
Apr 30, 20263.98M2.4x+0.46%
Apr 29, 20267.92M5.6x-7.96%
Apr 28, 20262.95M2.2x-3.14%
ORKA's Drawdown & Recovery History

How deep this stock's corrections have run, and how long they've taken to climb back.

Currently in a drawdown
Down -100.0% from its Feb 18, 2000 high, has not recovered yet, 348 trading days since the low so far.
Avg correction
-32.7%
Median correction
-23.6%
Largest correction
-87.3%
Recovery speed by how deep the drop was
5-10% drop
2 days
n=1
10-20% drop
14 days
n=1
20%+ drop
66 days
n=3
PeakTroughDeclineRecoveredDays to recover
Jan 25, 2000Jan 28, 2000-23.6%Feb 2, 20003
Jan 10, 2000Jan 13, 2000-33.4%Jan 24, 20006
Sep 26, 1997Apr 9, 1999-87.3%Jan 7, 2000190
Aug 11, 1997Aug 19, 1997-14.1%Sep 9, 199714
Seasonal Patterns: Best & Worst Months

Return by month, every year on record, plus average by weekday. Context, not a trading signal on its own; small sample sizes here too.

Historically strongest month
April
Avg +8.9% ยท positive in 52% of 29 years
Historically weakest month
March
Avg -6.3% ยท positive in 31% of 29 years
YearJFMAMJJASOND
20262104636-6733-4
2025-33-26499-515924511510
2024-54599143-2151-413-20-7
2023-90-1034-300-2-111-7
2022-18615817-1-3-113-315
20211-7-16-940-8-3-3-8-12-5
2020-8-35-2736257-284-17-15-135-4
20192712-21-23-44-1-4-112-892
201822-54-3108048-9-10-33-24-37
2017-21010-90-21-425560
2016-18-9-122-19-142-80-21919
2015-32010-14-644-3-16-23510-18
20141301-12-82-3-1-9-11-2519
2013110-18-147-29-218-620-11219
2012-20-7-23-30-49-29-5-34436
20110-1-17-2611-17-8-28-1723-26
2010-111825-18-1117-11104-4-14
2009-21-2-590-6-3824-1410-181314
2008-168-5431-16-28-2514-12-26-37
2007-8-684-1-24-183-11-10-5-2
200610110-620024-1138-79
2005-20-3-15-13244222-1-136-7
200422-24-3-13-131-14139-96-4
2003-4-9-15553-156-2302516-15
2002-13-22-9-17-11-216-13-15-18-22
20013-19-24284-9-4-26-2436-21
2000103214-56-29-3575-2715-15-15-5514
1999-90-2901368-2422022154
1998-1432-9-1-3-3-18-42-1-17-311
1997-534-28-11-23

Cell = that month's return (%), rounded. Darker green = stronger gain, darker red = deeper loss.

By weekday
Mon
+0.16%
42% win
Tue
-0.28%
41% win
Wed
+0.11%
40% win
Thu
+0.10%
41% win
Fri
+0.28%
43% win
Years That Traded Like This One

Comparing 2026's price path so far to every other full year on record, ranked by how closely they tracked. What happened for the rest of those years:

2003 ยท 82% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+78.6%
Full-year 2003: +321.7%
2024 ยท 79% similar so far
Rest of that year:
-21.1%
Full-year 2024: +78.9%
2022 ยท 76% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+0.5%
Full-year 2022: +3.1%

Similarity is based on the shape of the price path, not the cause, years can look alike for very different reasons. Context, not a forecast.

Grinds Up or Drops Fast? ORKA's Risk Profile

Does ORKA grind up and drop fast, or climb in bursts and fade slowly? The shape of its up days vs down days tells you.

Avg up day
+4.31%
Avg down day
-3.45%
% of days positive
41%
Frequently asked questions

Straight, sourced answers, the kind of questions traders actually type into a search bar or ask an AI assistant.

What is ORKA's 52-week high and low?

Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. (ORKA)'s 52-week high is $112.66, set on Aug 17, 2026. Its 52-week low is $14.80, set on Aug 29, 2025. It last closed at $91.14.

Is ORKA more volatile than usual right now?

ORKA's short-term volatility is right around normal, sitting at the 49th percentile of its own 1-2 year range.

What happens after ORKA has a big move?

Looking at ORKA's 424 single-day moves of +9.6% or more: after a big up day, it has averaged -1.0% over the next 5 sessions (38% positive). After a big down day, it has averaged -0.2% over the next 5 sessions (42% positive).

How long does ORKA usually take to recover from a drop?

Across 4 drawdowns of 10% or more on record, ORKA has taken an average of 53 trading days to climb back to its prior high. It is currently -100.0% below its Feb 18, 2000 peak and has not yet recovered.

Does ORKA have a seasonal pattern?

Historically, April has been ORKA's strongest month, averaging +8.9% and finishing positive in 52% of years. March has been the weakest, averaging -6.3%. This is a historical pattern, not a guarantee.

What is ORKA's longest winning streak?

ORKA's longest winning streak on record is 9 trading days, from Apr 9, 2025 to Apr 22, 2025, a combined gain of +56.0%. Its longest losing streak is 11 days.

How often do ORKA's price gaps get filled?

ORKA has gapped up at least 1% on 2007 occasions, filling that gap within 5 sessions 91% of the time. It has gapped down at least 1% on 1628 occasions, filling within 5 sessions 89% of the time.

Where is ORKA trading relative to its all-time high?

ORKA is trading -100.0% from its all-time high of $36959368.00 (Feb 18, 2000). Its current price is higher than 29% of all closing prices in its history on record.

All figures on this page are calculated directly from ORKA's daily price history (split/dividend-adjusted) and reflect the past only. None of this is a prediction of future performance or investment advice. Read disclaimer โ†’