New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Price Insights: Volatility, Support & Resistance, Streaks & Historical Returns

1,904 trading days on record, Jan 31, 2019 to Aug 28, 2026

NFE last closed at $0.29, 1% of the way through its 52-week range of $0.28 to $2.91. Downtrend, price below a falling 50-day average. Volatility is currently right around normal for this stock, at the 42th percentile of its own recent range. It is on a 1-day down streak.

How Volatile Is NFE Right Now?

Measured against its own trading history, not the broader market, so you're seeing what's actually unusual for this stock specifically. See if short sellers are involved →

Right around normal42th percentile of its own 1-2yr range
CalmNormalWild
Volatility squeeze. Short-term (21-day) volatility is running well below its longer-term (100-day) level. Compressions like this have historically preceded larger moves, in either direction.
Recent rhythm, last 60 sessions
Momentum Check

Which way the stock is leaning right now, across a short-term streak and a longer-term trend signal.

Streak (short-term)
1 day down (-4.1%)
When a down streak has reached 1 days before, it went on to extend further 53% of the time (n=457)
Trend (long-term: 50 vs 200-day)
Downtrend, price below a falling 50-day average
0.29-88.75% (1Y)
2.910.282025-08-272026-08-28

Over the past 10 trading days, NFE has fallen on 5 occasions, for a net -10.1%. In the most recent session, volume fell by about 1.36M shares to 1.40M shares, roughly 410.3K in traded value. Falling price on increasing volume suggests active selling, not just quiet drift.

Over the past 60 trading days, NFE has been in the upper part of a strong falling trend. If this trend and NFE's typical volatility continue, a statistical extrapolation points to roughly a -88.5% move over the next 3 months, landing between $-0.25 and $0.32 about 90% of the time under that assumption. This is an extrapolation of recent conditions, not a forecast, trends and volatility both change without warning.

Today's move in context

NFE moved -4.1% on Aug 28, 2026. Here's how unusual that is, and what's followed similar moves before.

Moves like this (-5% to -3%)
191 times (10.0% of days)
Size rank
Top 30% largest daily moves
After similar days...Avg returnWin rate
Next day+0.1%51% (n=191)
Next 5 days+0.2%48% (n=191)
Next 20 days+2.0%51% (n=188)
NFE's largest single-day gain on record is +44.9%, on Sep 16, 2025, the price jumped from $1.38 to $2.00.
Its largest single-day drop is -63.0%, on May 15, 2025, falling from $6.78 to $2.51.
Over just the past 12 months, NFE's biggest single-day gain was +44.9%, on Sep 16, 2025, from $1.38 to $2.00.
Its biggest single-day drop in the past 12 months was -42.9%, on Sep 8, 2025, from $2.45 to $1.40.
The current 1-day down streak is longer than 48% of all down streaks NFE has had.
NFE has spent 7% of its trading days within 5% of its all-time high at the time.
Where NFE Sits in Its 52-Week Range

A quick visual read on how close the stock is trading to its yearly high or low.

$0.28
Aug 21, 2026
$2.91
Sep 22, 2025
Zoomed out further: $0.29 is higher than 0% of every closing price NFE has ever had.
All-Time High, All-Time Low & Recent Returns
Last close
$0.29
All-time high
$55.45
Aug 25, 2022 · -99.5% from here
All-time low
$0.28
Aug 21, 2026
VWAP since 52w low
$0.28
Volume-weighted avg cost since the low

All-time high/low and every % figure on this page use prices adjusted for stock splits and dividends, so they stay comparable across the stock's full history.

1M return
-11.3%
YTD return
-74.3%
1Y return
-88.9%
5Y return
-98.9%
NFE is currently more than 20% of its running all-time high. In the past, when it was in that same range, it went on to average -3.5% over the following year (33% of the time positive, n=1274).
Support & Resistance Levels

Price levels NFE has repeatedly turned at over the last 2 years, and where it has spent most of its recent trading history.

Time spent at each price (full history)
$52.00
17d
$48.55
27d
$45.10
48d
$41.66
75d
$38.21
105d
$34.76
162d
$31.31
100d
$27.86
169d
$24.41
155d
$20.97
98d
$17.52
56d
$14.07
117d
$10.62
238d
$7.17
184d
$3.72
45d
$0.28
308d

Highlighted bar marks the price band NFE is in right now. Longer bars are price levels the stock has spent more time at, often described as "value areas." (This histogram uses full history; support/resistance above is recent-only.)

Streak Odds & Moving-Average Bounces
50-day average bounce rate
41%
Held as support 58 times it was tested from above
Longest winning streak
10 days
Dec 2, 2020 to Dec 15, 2020 · +33.9% combined
Longest losing streak
9 days
Feb 19, 2025 to Mar 3, 2025 · -28.3% combined
Once a streak reaches this length, how often has it gone further?
Up streak reaches...Extended further
2 days48% (n=218)
3 days54% (n=105)
4 days51% (n=57)
5+ days68% (n=28)
Down streak reaches...Extended further
2 days49% (n=235)
3 days58% (n=115)
4 days58% (n=67)
5+ days62% (n=39)
What a Random Holding Period Has Actually Returned

If you'd bought NFE on any random day in its history and held for N days, here's what typically happened, including the rough downside case.

Hold forAvg returnWin rateRough downside (bottom 10%)
1 day-0.0%48%-5.3%
1 week-0.2%46%-12.4%
2 weeks-0.6%45%-18.3%
1 month-1.2%42%-28.0%
3 months-2.2%38%-49.2%
6 months+1.5%39%-67.4%
What Happens After a Big Move

NFE has had 30 single-day moves of at least +15.0% on record (roughly twice its typical daily swing). Here's what followed, historically.

After a big up day (16)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day-2.0%38% (n=16)
5 days+2.4%56% (n=16)
10 days+0.7%44% (n=16)
After a big down day (14)
NextAvg returnWin rate
1 day-1.3%36% (n=14)
5 days-4.1%43% (n=14)
10 days+3.9%29% (n=14)

A historical pattern in NFE's own price data, not a prediction, small sample sizes (low "n") mean less reliable signal.

How Often Price Gaps Fill

How often NFE opens at least 1% away from the prior close, and how quickly price trades back to fill that gap.

Gap ups
456 (~60.2/yr)
Avg size: 2.6%
Filled same day: 62%
Filled within 5 sessions: 84%
Gap downs
325 (~42.9/yr)
Avg size: 2.6%
Filled same day: 58%
Filled within 5 sessions: 80%
The Full Distribution of Daily Moves

Every daily return on record, bucketed. Taller bars at the edges mean bigger, more frequent extreme days than a "typical" stock.

Below -5%
11%
-5% to -3%
10%
-3% to -1%
19%
-1% to 0%
11%
0% to 1%
12%
1% to 3%
16%
3% to 5%
10%
Above 5%
11%
27%
Quiet days
40%
Normal days
22%
High days
11%
Extreme days

Trailing 1-year annualized volatility: 119.3%. Average intraday range: 6.8%, a rough gauge for sizing stops. Day categories are relative to NFE's own median daily move, not a fixed threshold.

Days When Volume Spiked

Days where volume ran at least 2x the trailing 30-day average, often institutional activity or a news-driven move. 3 in the last 90 days. Today's volume is running at 0.7x the 30-day average.

DateVolumevs 30-day avgPrice move
Aug 24, 20265.49M2.9x+0.15%
Jun 26, 202627.26M5.5x-9.92%
Jun 18, 202611.28M2.3x-15.10%
Mar 20, 202646.10M3.2x-12.26%
Mar 19, 202637.32M2.8x-2.95%
Mar 18, 2026101.08M10.1x-20.35%
Mar 17, 202670.33M9.0x+5.50%
Mar 10, 202619.04M2.2x-7.02%
NFE's Drawdown & Recovery History

How deep this stock's corrections have run, and how long they've taken to climb back.

Currently in a drawdown
Down -99.5% from its Aug 25, 2022 high, has not recovered yet, 5 trading days since the low so far.
Avg correction
-28.2%
Median correction
-15.8%
Largest correction
-65.9%
Recovery speed by how deep the drop was
5-10% drop
7 days
n=3
10-20% drop
5 days
n=2
20%+ drop
84 days
n=4
PeakTroughDeclineRecoveredDays to recover
Jan 7, 2021Jan 27, 2022-65.9%Aug 11, 2022135
Dec 15, 2020Dec 16, 2020-15.7%Dec 24, 20206
Oct 22, 2020Nov 12, 2020-35.4%Dec 14, 202021
Sep 10, 2020Sep 15, 2020-15.8%Sep 21, 20204
Sep 23, 2019Mar 23, 2020-57.8%Jul 17, 202081
Seasonal Patterns: Best & Worst Months

Return by month, every year on record, plus average by weekday. Context, not a trading signal on its own; small sample sizes here too.

Historically strongest month
December
Avg +7.0% · positive in 57% of 7 years
Historically weakest month
March
Avg -14.1% · positive in 13% of 8 years
YearJFMAMJJASOND
202620-17-5018-23-35-17-13
2025-8-33-8-28-5630-25-13-6-413-13
2024-118-11-13-2-12-3-34-21-133347
20237-18-112-12-4793-326-5
2022-122033-1415-132416-1918-7-16
2021-155-8-14-5-15-23-2-714-210
20202-9-314813-8693061-181827
201911-2713-151603818-1-119

Cell = that month's return (%), rounded. Darker green = stronger gain, darker red = deeper loss.

By weekday
Mon
-0.20%
48% win
Tue
+0.16%
46% win
Wed
+0.14%
48% win
Thu
-0.09%
50% win
Fri
-0.26%
48% win
Years That Traded Like This One

Comparing 2026's price path so far to every other full year on record, ranked by how closely they tracked. What happened for the rest of those years:

2025 · 92% similar so far
Rest of that year:
-56.7%
Full-year 2025: -93.0%
2024 · 86% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+16.0%
Full-year 2024: -58.7%
2023 · 84% similar so far
Rest of that year:
+30.2%
Full-year 2023: +5.7%

Similarity is based on the shape of the price path, not the cause, years can look alike for very different reasons. Context, not a forecast.

Grinds Up or Drops Fast? NFE's Risk Profile

Does NFE grind up and drop fast, or climb in bursts and fade slowly? The shape of its up days vs down days tells you.

Avg up day
+3.58%
Avg down day
-3.47%
% of days positive
48%
Frequently asked questions

Straight, sourced answers, the kind of questions traders actually type into a search bar or ask an AI assistant.

What is NFE's 52-week high and low?

New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE)'s 52-week high is $2.91, set on Sep 22, 2025. Its 52-week low is $0.28, set on Aug 21, 2026. It last closed at $0.29.

Is NFE more volatile than usual right now?

NFE's short-term volatility is right around normal, sitting at the 42th percentile of its own 1-2 year range. It is currently in a volatility squeeze, with short-term volatility compressed well below its longer-term level.

What happens after NFE has a big move?

Looking at NFE's 30 single-day moves of +15.0% or more: after a big up day, it has averaged +2.4% over the next 5 sessions (56% positive). After a big down day, it has averaged -4.1% over the next 5 sessions (43% positive).

How long does NFE usually take to recover from a drop?

Across 5 drawdowns of 10% or more on record, NFE has taken an average of 58 trading days to climb back to its prior high. It is currently -99.5% below its Aug 25, 2022 peak and has not yet recovered.

Does NFE have a seasonal pattern?

Historically, December has been NFE's strongest month, averaging +7.0% and finishing positive in 57% of years. March has been the weakest, averaging -14.1%. This is a historical pattern, not a guarantee.

What is NFE's longest winning streak?

NFE's longest winning streak on record is 10 trading days, from Dec 2, 2020 to Dec 15, 2020, a combined gain of +33.9%. Its longest losing streak is 9 days.

How often do NFE's price gaps get filled?

NFE has gapped up at least 1% on 456 occasions, filling that gap within 5 sessions 84% of the time. It has gapped down at least 1% on 325 occasions, filling within 5 sessions 80% of the time.

Where is NFE trading relative to its all-time high?

NFE is trading -99.5% from its all-time high of $55.45 (Aug 25, 2022). Its current price is higher than 0% of all closing prices in its history on record.

All figures on this page are calculated directly from NFE's daily price history (split/dividend-adjusted) and reflect the past only. None of this is a prediction of future performance or investment advice. Read disclaimer →