Earnings

Payoneer's B2B volume doubled. The interest rate headwind is quietly eating the win.

JM
James Morgan
Senior Markets Editor
|ยท 5 min read
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KEY POINTS

  • Total revenue was $262M, up 6% YoY โ€” but revenue excluding interest income grew 11%, the cleaner business metric.
  • B2B volume surged 44% and checkout volume grew 53% โ€” the core payment business is accelerating fast.
  • Adjusted EBITDA ex-interest income hit a company record of $18M, up over 140% YoY โ€” the business without rate tailwinds is finally standing on its own.

Payoneer reported Q1 2026 on May 7. The headline revenue growth of 6% looks underwhelming until you understand the structure of this business โ€” and why the number you actually want to watch is the $210 million in revenue that excludes interest income. Once you see how the pieces fit together, this quarter looks a lot better than the headline implies. With one important caveat.

What they reported

Payoneer โ€” the cross-border payments platform that helps small businesses and freelancers in emerging markets get paid by international clients and marketplaces โ€” posted Q1 2026 revenue of $262 million (up 6% YoY), with B2B payment volume up 44%, checkout volume up 53%, total volume exceeding $22 billion, EPS of $0.06, and adjusted EBITDA ex-interest income of $18 million โ€” a company record and up over 140% year over year.

Beat or miss

Beat โ€” Q1 revenue of $262M came in ahead of consensus, and the company raised full-year revenue guidance midpoint by $10 million to $1.12 billion, with core adjusted EBITDA expected to more than double to roughly $90 million at the midpoint, while EPS of $0.06 matched the prior year despite headwinds from declining interest income.

What the CEO actually said about the future

CEO John Caplan was notably excited about the B2B momentum โ€” volume up 44%, more than doubling the 21% growth rate from the prior quarter. The China cross-border export opportunity is a specific catalyst he kept returning to, and it's real: Chinese SMBs selling internationally through platforms like Amazon and Alibaba represent a meaningful expansion market. The Stripe migration for the checkout business is complete with higher-than-expected retention. That's operationally significant โ€” migrations often destroy customer relationships and this one apparently didn't.

But here's the thing nobody talks about in the headline summaries: $52 million of Payoneer's quarterly revenue is interest income โ€” earnings from the $7.6 billion in customer funds sitting on the platform. As the Fed cuts rates, that number drops. Management guided for $200 million in annual interest income in 2026, down from higher levels when rates were elevated. So the total revenue headline is structurally declining in one component even as the core payment business is accelerating. The stablecoin wallet initiative via Bridge and the AI customer support pilots are early-stage optionality โ€” worth watching but not yet revenue. The core story is a real payment platform growing faster than it looks, partially masked by rate-related noise.

What it means for the stock in plain terms

The market hasn't fully figured out what to do with PAYO.

The stock trades below book in some metrics and significantly below payments peers on revenue multiples โ€” partly because the interest income component makes the financials harder to read, partly because Payoneer serves emerging-market SMBs which don't get the same multiple as fintech companies serving Western enterprises. The B2B acceleration is the bull case: if 44% volume growth continues and take rates hold, the core revenue ex-interest is compounding at a double-digit rate, and the core EBITDA story becomes very clean at scale. The bear case is that interest income fades faster than core revenue accelerates, growth normalizes as the Stripe migration tailwind fades, and the stock stays stuck in its perpetual discount. The $74M in buybacks this quarter at $5.16 average suggests management thinks the stock is cheap.

The one thing beginners should take away

When a financial company says revenue grew 6% but the "core" metric grew 11%, dig into why there are two numbers. Payoneer's headline includes $52M in interest income that will keep declining as rates fall โ€” which means the real business growth is actually faster than it appears, but total revenue is being held back by something management can't control. Always understand what's in the revenue number before you judge whether the growth is impressive or disappointing.

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JM
Written by James Morgan
Senior Markets Editor, Stocks Register
View all articles by James โ†’